We have some exciting events coming up this month with the first: The Future of Software Analysis and Measurement on October 12, 2011. I am really excited to share the virtual podium with Bill Curtis, Senior VP and Chief Scientist of CAST Corporation and with David Herron, David Consulting Groups VP of Knowledge Solution Services as moderator.

Bill and I both spoke at a software engineering conference last year and I got very excited about his work in software analysis with CAST. Besides Bill being an engaging speaker his content was very illuminating, covering issues of existing software, its complexity and reliability. He ev!–more–
en showed the number of latent defects in software of various languages. I have greatly summarized some of the a href=http://www.galorath.com/wp/software-defects-in-fielded-software-cast-analysis.phpsoftware defect conclusions /aelsewhere on this BLOG and CAST has been instrumental in recognizing and quantifying the a href=http://www.galorath.com/wp/500-billion-it-debt-for-deferred-maintenance.phptechnical debt/a

And with David Herron, one of the most knowledgeable people in the measurement community, this should be a do not miss event.

Details of the event follow as does a link to signup. Hope you can make it.
blockquotestrongThe Future of Software Analysis and Measurement/strong

October 12, 2011 8:00am Pacific, 11:00am Eastern, 4:00pm London

a href=http://www.castsoftware.com/news-events/event/future-of-sam?gad=glrClick this Webinar Link to sign up/a

Join us on October 12th to hear from an exciting lineup of experts on the Future of Software Analysis and Measurement: Dan Galorath, President CEO of Galorath Inc and Bill Curtis, SVP Chief Scientist, CAST will have an engaging discussion moderated by David Herron, VP, Knowledge Solution Services, David Consulting Group.

These industry veterans will share experiences with their client’s software development processes and discuss how Software Analysis and Measurement tools coupled with Parametric Estimation models can impact organizational performance through increased ROI, customer satisfaction and business value.

The panel will provide insightful and actionable steps that will make an immediate impact on your strategy including how to:

• Drive organization value by fueling Estimate and Measurement practices within an enterprise

• Build the funding rationale through proven economic impact models

• Establish the ROI from Estimate and Measurement practices and process/blockquote

Related posts:

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2. Measurement and Providing Value to the Business ISMA Keynote 2011 Here is a copy of my keynote talk at the...
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Here is a copy of my keynote talk at the 2011 ISMA measurement conference, Measurement and Management and Business Value.  The real point is the IT and measurement personnel have the information, knowledge and skill set to provide value to the business, far beyond the costs generate.  But the information needs to be communicated in terms leaders can understand rather than the techie language we all think and speak in… AND if IT starts showing how it contributes to the business and becomes a profit center instead of a cost center IT will get more money to apply to more valuable things.

UPDATE: Someone also asked for a reference communicating the language of management.  I believe this publication on business case analysis to be helpful in that regard.

PS In my talk I referred to software and measurement people as geeks.  To many the term geek is a source of pride.  One person in the talk was offended by being called a geek.  My sincere apologies.  However modern vernacular often defines a geek as a lover of technology, a software developer or someone with an intense love of mathematics.  I consider myself a geek.  And my friend Paul Glen makes his living by “leading geeks.”

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If you are interested in government acquisition reform be sure to register for this webinar.  Bob Hunt, Galorath VP of Services, was a senior Pentagon official the last time around and will share both what was learned from before and how to apply these to the current WSARA (Weapons System Acquisition Reform Act).  Here is the webinar invitation.

Acquisition Reform (WSARA) And How It Impacts Your Estimations: Looking Forward And Lessons Learned

Weapons systems acquisition reform has been a recurring topic within the Department of Defense for many years.

Mr. Bob Hunt, Galorath’s V.P. of Professional Services, was a Senior Pentagon official during the previous Acquisition Reform initiatives. He has since been active in the contractor community.  Mr. Hunt will offer a unique perspective on how these acquisition reforms will impact both the Government and the contractor estimating communities.

This WebEx will discuss the unique implications of the latest reform on the cost and schedule estimating process, including:

 Cost Assessment & Program Evaluation

Directors of DT&E and Systems Engineering Performance Assessments & Root Cause Analysis

 Assessment of Technology Maturity

 Trade-Offs in Cost, Schedule and Performance

 Critical Cost Growth in MDAPs

 Earned Value Management

Required Reports

 Cost Assessment & Program Evaluation

 How some of the SEER applications can be advantageously applied for Pre-milestone A estimates

 And much more!

Much (or some) of this has been tried before, e.g. Goldwater-Nichols Department of Defense Reorganization Act of 1986; also discussed in The Cost Analysis Improvement Group: A History by Srull, Margolis, and McNicol. WSARA is being driven by the continued and sometimes surprising growth in the cost and schedule of Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs).
——————————————————-
Date and Time
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March 9, 2010
8:30 am, Pacific Standard Time (GMT -07:00, San Francisco)
11:30 am, Eastern Standard Time (GMT -05:00, New York)
4:30 pm, London, England

——————————————————-
Presenter
——————————————————-
Bob HuntVP of Services, Galorath Incorporated

——————————————————-
To register for the online event
——————————————————-

This complimentary event requires registration with a corporate email address.

1. Go to https://galorathevents.webex.com/galorathevents/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=669660618
2. Click “Register”.
3. On the registration form, enter your information and then click “Submit”.

Once the host approves your enrollment, you will receive a confirmation email message with instructions on how to join the event

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1. Acquisition Reform (WSARA) And History In addition to the webinar Bob Hunt will give on...
2. Lessons Learned On Major Engineering Program: Viable Cost Estimates Needed Recently one of our analysts attended a “lessons learned” presentation...
3. Step Nine: Document Estimate and Lessons Learned Each time you complete an estimate and again at the...

I will be speaking on estimating process yielding project success at the Computer Aid Seminar in Detroit On April 30, 2009.

My message will be that spending time on estimation and planning yields more successful projects and fewer project surprises.  And I will go through the 10 step process.  Additionally I will introduce Galorath’s estimation maturity model.

I am excited to speak along with Ed Yourdon, Larry Dribin, and CAI’s Bob Longhorn.

It should be a great event.  I have participated in these with Larry and Bob in the past, and I am a lifetime fan of Ed.

I believe we will be doing the same genre in Toronto later in the year.

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Follow this link to see some of the estimating united papers.� it was a great conference, full of useful information. Talks encompassing cost estimating (cost estimation), value engineering, product design, software, and more.

And thanks again to all the speakers and attendees as well as the hospitality of the Manchester United Football (soccer) club. And the Galorath staff whose diligent efforts made this a great success. Presentations will be available for all to download for the next few months, then will be available as part of the Galorath corporate library.

Galorath Conducts 5th Worldwide Conference on Project Estimation: Estimating United

On March 19th, 2009, Galorath conducted its 5th annual worldwide conference on project estimating. The conference title, Estimating United, was fitting both for its venue and content. The venue was Old Trafford, Manchester, United Kingdom, home of the world famous Manchester United Football Team. The content included presentations in two tracks from a variety of world class company participants, all united in their efforts to improve project estimation practices. Presentations covered a variety of topics in the area of project estimation, planning and control.

In recognition of their contributions to project estimation, two awards were presented at this year’s conference — one to Charles Symonds for his outstanding work and contributions in the field of software estimation and the second to Alan Jones of BAE Systems for his continued efforts to provide both a platform of knowledge for less experienced cost engineers and for his dedication to the Association of Cost Engineers activities to bring to our profession a “tiered approach to accreditation.” They join past recipients of this award which include Raj Roy, Cranfield University; David Reuss, Rolls Royce; and John Henson, AgustaWestland.

The 2nd SEER conference of the 2009 series will be held in El Segundo, CA on October 8th and 9th, 2009.

Presentations

Life Cycle Costing Capability in an International Organisation for Armament Cooperation

OCCAR-EA is an International organisation with full legal personality since 2001. It was created to co-ordinate, control and implement co-operative armament programmes that are assigned to it by the Member States. Today OCCAR is managing 7 Programmes with a total portfolio of 44 billions Euros. OCCAR is clearly tasked from its Convention to identify Cost Effective options to the nations both during Development and Production and for the In Service Phase of a Programme.  In this frame, OCCAR-EA has developed a Life Cycle Costing capability within the general approach of Through Life Management.  This allows the identification of common and cost effective solutions and informs the decision makers on these opportunities. The presentation will show the steps followed to set up this capability and will point out the specifics linked to an international Agency, a snapshot of the process in place, and the types of studies that have been performed.

Chairman’s Welcome and Opening Remarks

Carl Dalton introduces the day’s events, runs through the timings and housekeeping and introduces the Galorath team and the presenters.

The Value of Cost Estimating for Cost Management

Costs are determined in the very early stages of the Product Creation Process. Not using this fact, but only to focus on ‘solving technical puzzles’ or stressing Time-to-Market is a missed opportunity that in the end makes the business less competitive. In many companies Cost estimation can be a very valuable tool for purchasing in determining the “should cost” if only used in this way however cost estimation becomes a “purchasing tool” only.Changing to Target Costing means: Define the Customer Value before development starts, and derive the Target Cost from this. Then start studies to address the economic feasibility of new products, using cost estimation and cost driver analysis. This way cost estimation becomes a strategic decision support tool with less need to repair costs later on.Goof will address the following during his presentation:

• How we used to address costs (not)
• Change to Target Costing
• Role of Cost Estimation for target costing
• Some Examples of Cost Reduction achievements using Cost Estimation

Procurement Costs – Transparency and Assurance

Procured Equipment, Material and Services represents over two thirds of the initial cost of a military air platform and the resulting through life support activity. In the current climate of partnering and price transparency linked to a business environment increasingly focussed on ethical conduct, commercial parametric estimating models can provide confidence for both supplier and customer through open cost modelling based on industry standards of performance.This presentation will outline the current activity at BAE Systems – Military Air Solutions aimed at achieving these goals.

Understanding the Mysteries of MOD Support Costs

The costs incurred during the service life of equipment are a significant proportion of the whole life cost. However, these costs are not well understood and there are inconsistencies within the MOD as to how these are collected, collated and used. These costs are also used within the analysis at Dstl to inform high level Balance of Investment (BOI) decisions and it is therefore imperative that these costs are included as accurately as possible. The Support Costs study, funded by Director Equipment Plans (DEP), was commissioned to address this problem.The presentation will cover how the project team tackled the problem and explore some of the conclusions from the work.

Embedding Galorath’s Estimating Tools into a Project & Programme Management Suite

In this presentation we will show how the Galorath estimating tools have been integrated into Ninth Wave’s Project & Programme Management (PPM) suite.In most PPM products estimates for projects are entered manually and there is no audit trail provided for senior managers to see how the estimate was derived. Ninth Wave has enhanced its PPM suite to be able to generate an estimate automatically into a project by using the Galorath products in a “black box” fashion.The key benefits of this integrated approach are:

• estimating best practice is embedded into project management across the organisation
• drill-down capability to understand key inputs and drivers for an estimate
• ability to model different scenarios with just a couple of mouse clicks
• audit trail provided for all steps associated with generating an estimate

Software Sizing – the weakest link of estimating?

Charles Symons presents data on the performance of the software industry which in certain respects is dreadful. Evidence will be shown suggesting that this poor performance is at least partly due to weaknesses in performance measurements and in estimating. By “estimating”, we mean:

• initial estimation of the product size,
• methods for estimating project effort and duration from the initial size,
• processes by which estimating is integrated with project management,

where the first of these elements is the weakest link (though the third is also often weak).

The talk will then trace the development of methods of sizing software from using SLOC, to Albrecht’s idea of sizing functionality (now the IFPUG method), to the COSMIC method. Charles will briefly compare these methods and show how the COSMIC method overcomes weaknesses of earlier approaches.

What’s New and “Dan Galorath on Estimating”

What’s new and what’s coming in SEER will be featured.Additionally Dan will discuss selections from his blog. Dan will discuss selections from metrics, effectiveness measurement, the real costs of a variety of undertakings, what is ITIL versus ISO 9000, the risk of IT projects, what the assets of failed banks really are worth, and lots more. He weighs in on a wealth of topics both timeless and contemporary.

Computer-aided Business Case Assessment in Engineering Design Education

In all engineering initiatives the only acceptable basis for launching a product development programme is one in which low risk and high return-on-investment in the shortest possible timeline is secured. Up to 80% of the life-cycle cost of most high valued-added engineered products is incurred during the conceptual design phase, and, by the time completion of the design and development stage occurs 95% of the product cost is fixed and most of the development cost is spent. The University of Bristol, Department of Aerospace Engineering, and, the Department of Engineering Mathematics via its Engineering Design degree programme offer many examples of group project orientated education for undergraduates. The major student group projects for academic year 2008/09 include: (1) Airbus UK project “250-passenger Transport Aircraft Optimised for Multi-stop, Long-range Operations; (2) Arup project “Elevated Transport and Entertainment Ride System”; (3) Motorola project “Water Powered Pico Generator for a Mobile Phone Base Station”; (4) Hewlett-Packard project “Personal Carbon Footprint System”; (5) GE Aviation project “Automation of Pitch Control of a Propeller Engine; and, (6) Babcock project “Design Optimisation of a Nuclear Flask ‘Grab’ System”. A review of business case results from the aforementioned student group project work using the Galorath SEER-H cost estimation software will be presented.

Decisions, (Multi-Criterion, Subjective, unbounded), Decisions

The primary objective of this paper is to introduce two alternative methods, Absolute and Empirical Referencing, used to minimize the subjectivity surrounding some of the more crucial processes associated with project management and analysis. The Estimate by Comparison solution developed by Galorath Incorporated will be used as the vehicle to illustrate comparative sizing for the purposes of Parametric Estimation along with a few other more contemporary applications.

Estimation in ERP Environments

• Organisations have ambitious plans when purchasing ERP
• More than 75% believe in quick wins and grand return of investment
• In practice one will go a long way of learning
• 30% – 70% cost reduction is possible
• Therefore one needs a strong strategy in standardisation, developing
• Kknowing the pitfalls and monitoring the principal cost drivers are essential
• Benchmarking and estimating the projects and their environments will bring success
• Example insurance company:
  • Starting up with conventional planning and estimating
  • Gathering facts and figures
  • Switching to ERP environment planning
  • Building up company specific planning data
  • Creating private knowledge base

The 12 Sins of Estimation

Sin is a term used mainly in a religious context to describe an act that violates a moral code of conduct or the state of having committed such a violation. In monotheistic religions, the code of conduct is determined by God. Colloquially, any thought, word, or act considered immoral, harmful, or alternative might be termed “sinful”. Knowingly, and unknowingly, we as estimation experts commit sins in the area of Estimation, leading to harmful effects on the project management, tracking and control. With the premise that not doing wrong things is a way to do the right, the presentation highlights the common sins committed by experts in the field of estimation.Taking into account the current practical realities of business, the presentation explains how we can improve the process of estimation, and how to gather the critical mass required to make change happen in an organization.

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Rick Spiewak from The MITRE Corporation and Karen McRitchie, Galorath VP of development published a paper in the Crosstalk journal showing how increasing quality using basic quality principals during software development can reduce costs while also reducing defects. The abstract follows:

“Software can be considered a product whose production is fundamentally similar to other products. Improving the quality of software can be approached using the same basic principles espoused by quality pioneers such as W. Edwards Deming, Philip B. Crosby and Harold F. Dodge. These principles can form a practical framework for ensuring that appropriate requirements are set for software development projects. By connecting established software engineering practices to the objective of defect prevention, we can apply the principles of quality management to software development. Using modeling techniques, it is possible to predict the potential cost savings and defect reduction expected”.

Fundamentals of Software Construction For Quality

“The fundamentals of software construction include

• Minimizing complexity
• Anticipating change
• Constructing for verification
• Standards in construction”

Best Practices

• Uniform coding standards
• Automated Unit Testing
• Root Cause Analysis
• Code Reuse

Results

The paper, using SEER for Software concluded potentially significant 11% cost and 4% schedule reductions as well as a 19% reduction in defects as follow:

Again the full article may be accessed via Crosstalk magazine.

Good job Rick and Karen

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