Manufacturing Revolution, Product Development, And Cost Analysis

March 30, 2010 · Filed Under Cost Estimating, Thoughts  - 0 Comment(s)

Jim Ryan of Computer Aid pointed out, during the SEER / Tracer alliance conference,  that the manufacturing revolution was able to provide continuous cost reductions and dramatically  lower costs.  He had examples of:

  • Steel 8 hours / ton vs. 25
  • GM: 28 hours per car vs. 100
  • GE: Constant stream of 10% per year cost reductions
  • Motorola, Et Al: Six sigma 3.4 failures per million

The way this was achieved:

  • Measure like crazy
  • Establish aggressive targets
  • Use data to make decisions
  • Recognize and reward accomplishments and progress
  • Create a learning culture
  • Treasure every cycle of learning

Jim points out that all these approaches apply directly to information technology but… we have not seen the revolution occur.   He showed how IT productivity has remained flat or slightly declining over the years.

Jim also pointed out that productivity between the 1st and 4th quartile is about 6 times higher than the first quartile

The core principals of the IT revolution are:

  • Defined Standard Repeatable Processes
  • Process, Performance Product Metrics
  • Quality Focus (Quality checks early, not just checklists at the end… code reviews, design reviews)
  • Standard cost model…
  • End to End process management
  • Metrics
  • Continuous Improvement

Jim has seen a 50% cost reduction in the work using these approaches within Computer Aid.  These are supported by Tracer.

I (Dan) will be speaking on estimate maturity and how Similar results can be achieved by focusing on estimating process maturity.  Estimating process maturity should be part of a mature project management process.



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