The Sooner You Fall Behind, The More Time You Have To Catch Up
I received an email from the Josephson Institute of Ethics today that included this quote from a well known comedian: “The Sooner You Fall Behind, The More Time You Have To Catch Up.”
As I pondered the absurdity of the statement my mind focused on the many projects I have seen where this might have been taken seriously. I recall, many years ago, preparing an estimate for a new project, an in-house typesetting system. While this was not the most complicated software in the world, it took a lot at that time to do a decent job of typesetting with hyphenation, justification, kerning, leading, etc. all having to be implemented by hand generated code (how big is Knuth’s TEX application?). The customer had received a proposal from a trusted supplier (who did business reporting software) to build an entire system in just months. When confronted with the implausibility, the vendor’s only response was, “I just know I can do this.” Thank goodness the customer didn’t go for it. If they had, what would have happened… After the original target day came and went there would have been a flurry… a descoping… more promises that “we are almost done, I just know it”… and after a year or two the project would probably have been canceled.
I recall another time, very early in my career… before parametric estimating, when we had a 4 terminal cluster system to develop. We had a functional spec and a (probably poor) estimate. We saw an ad in a computer magazine that said this particular programming language would cut costs to 10%. The supplier came out and guaranteed it: even bidding fixed price and just a few weeks for the entire job. I must admit I wondered how the vendor would do it… an assembly line type of setup where a team would pass information and where a chief programmer would allocate tasks or what. When the big day came one guy showed up. He worked about 24/7. The deadline came and went. Still no worries… it was the world’s answer to software and it was fixed price. Six months came and went. Now the vendor came in and said they couldn’t do it. Four employees plus the vendor and 5 months later it was complete.
I have heard it said that if a cost performance index was below .95 or so, the project cannot catch up. While no one wants their projects to be in trouble, isn’t it valuable to understand what you can’t catch up?
Viable plans help make successful projects.
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